Economic and Political Insights

Economic and Political Insights

Economic Policy

The $42 Billion Handcuff: Why the Sanders-Khanna Bill is a Death Sentence for the Final Frontier

Rooting for Elon Musk is a tough sell, but taxing “unrealized” dreams isn’t just a levy on billionaires—it’s a direct penalty on the American future.

David Bernstein's avatar
David Bernstein
Mar 10, 2026
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Rooting for Elon Musk often feels like rooting for Brad Pitt to get laid—you know he’s going to be just fine regardless of the outcome. But the Make Billionaires Pay Their Fair Share Act isn’t just about sticking it to the world’s richest man; it’s a structural blow to the very engine of American innovation. By forcing a 5% annual liquidation of companies like SpaceX and Tesla, this bill effectively hands “Mission Control” over to short-term Wall Street interests, trading our seat at the table on Mars for a one-time federal cash grab. If we tax the “paper gains” of the visionaries building the future before their tech even works, we aren’t just taxing wealth—we’re taxing the audacity to build anything that takes more than a fiscal quarter to achieve.

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Introduction:

The Make Billionaires Pay Their Fair Share Act (March 2026), sponsored by Senator Sanders and Congressman Khann applies a 5 percent tax on household net worth exceeding $1 billion. It is projected to impact 938 billionaires in the United States. The objective of this memo is to evaluate the impact of this bill on the world’s richest person, Elon Musk, and his ventures.

Background on Elon Musk and his ventures and possible wealth tax effects:

Elon Musk, the world’s richest person, has an estimated net worth of $840 billion with $3 billion in liquid assets. Based on his current net worth estimate Elon Musk would have a $42 billion annual tax bill under the Sanders-Khanna proposal.

Elon Musk’s massive net worth is primarily distributed across four major ventures: Tesla, a public leader in electric vehicles and robotics; SpaceX, a private aerospace giant that now includes the xAI artificial intelligence division and the X social media platform; The Boring Company, a startup focused on underground tunnel infrastructure; Neuralink, a biotech firm developing high-bandwidth brain-machine interfaces. He also has personal holdings in various cryptocurrencies and smaller investments.

Most of the funds for the annual tax bill would come from sales of shares in Tesla and SpaceX. EV sales are now rapidly dropping because of the expiration of the EV tax credit and other financial incentives impacting EVs. The high valuation of Tesla stock stems from expectations that this firm will become a leader in autonomous driving and robotics, activities that require additional capital expenditures.

Annual mandatory selling of Tesla stock to raise funds to cover the tax bill would depress the stock price and increase the cost of capital at a time when Tesla needs more funds for capital expenditures and research and development.

Under the tax bill Elon Musk would owe $27 billion annually on Space X alone. SpaceX is private, Musk cannot simply sell a few thousand shares on an app to cover the bill; he would have to find massive institutional buyers or sovereign wealth funds willing to participate in private rounds every single year, potentially at a discount to the official valuation.

In high-risk ventures like SpaceX, founder control is what allows the company to prioritize multi-decade goals over short-term dividends. If Musk is forced by the tax code to dilute his ownership by 5% every year, he would eventually be outvoted by institutional investors who would likely pivot the company to maximize Starlink’s satellite internet profits while cutting the expensive, non-profitable development of the Starship Mars colony.

There are significant rumors that SpaceX will go public through an IPO. The wealth tax would likely reduce the incentive for Space X to go public because in the absence of a publicly traded price Musk could argue for a lower valuation.

Using Tesla as a “piggy bank” to pay the multi-billion dollar annual tax on SpaceX’s valuation would rapidly deplete Musk’s 12–20% stake in the carmaker. Within a few years, he would lose his voting majority at Tesla, potentially leading to a change in leadership that might move away from his long-term bets on robotics and AI.

This forced liquidation is particularly hazardous given Tesla’s current 2026 pivot. To maintain its lead in the global AI race, Tesla has signaled it will double its capital expenditures to over $20 billion this year, funding massive new data centers for FSD (Full Self-Driving) training and the transition of its Fremont facility into a dedicated production line for the Optimus Gen 3 humanoid robot.

· Watch: “The Humanoid Robot Revolution: What’s Coming in 2026”

o This video breaks down how Tesla Optimus and FSD are moving from demos to factory deployment in early 2026, providing visual context for why Musk views this as a $25 trillion opportunity that he cannot afford to lose control of.

Critically, this tax arrives as Tesla navigates its most vulnerable period since the Model 3 ramp. The domestic EV market has cooled into a ‘structural winter’ following the September 2025 repeal of the $7,500 federal tax credit and the rollback of state-level purchase incentives. With Tesla’s U.S. sales dropping 7% in 2025 and inventory levels hitting a record 149-day supply, the company has been forced to cannibalize its own margins to remain competitive against cheaper imports.

Forcing Musk to offload billions in stock during this downturn would be a ‘double-hit’: it would dry up the company’s internal cash reserves while simultaneously crushing investor confidence at a time when the stock’s premium is no longer supported by car sales, but solely by the promise of future AI breakthroughs.

Using Tesla as a source of tax liquidity would not only dilute Musk’s voting power but also signal to the market a lack of ‘founder conviction’ during the company’s most capital-intensive phase. Such large-scale, mandatory sales would likely depress the stock valuation, creating a feedback loop that increases the cost of capital and potentially starves these high-risk robotics projects of the very cash they need to survive.

Simultaneously, the tax bill for SpaceX would continue to rise as the company succeeds, eventually forcing him to sell SpaceX shares anyway once the Tesla reserves are exhausted.

Neuralink and the Boring company are smaller, but Musk might be forced to sell shares an act that leads to a higher cost of capital for these startups also.

The bill does contain a clause, initiated by Ro Khanna, to protect startups in a building phase with little or no cash. Under this rule, a founder can postpone their tax payments until a “liquidity event,” such as an IPO or a total sale of the company. This prevents a visionary from being forced to sell off pieces of a fragile, young company just to satisfy the IRS, which would otherwise dilute their control before the business is even off the ground.

The deferral clause would currently apply to Neuralink and The Boring Company but not to SpaceX, which is very profitable. SpaceX might be able to lose a lot of money on Starship and become eligible for deferral.

Elon Musk is currently backed into a $42 billion corner—but he isn’t out of moves yet. Below the fold, we dive into the three ‘nuclear options’ Musk’s legal team is likely prepping for 2026, including the specific Supreme Court precedent that could strike down the Sanders-Khanna Act entirely. Upgrade to paid to unlock the full strategic breakdown and the ‘Exit Tax’ warning that changes everything.

Elon Musk’s potential responses to wealth tax:

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