The contest for control of the House in 2024

The electoral map and the likelihood of ticket splitting

Introduction:

We know that the presidential election will be determined by outcomes in 6 swing states and maybe North Carolina. 

We know 8 Senate seats held by Democrats are in play and that the Democrats must sweep to maintain control of the Senate.

We don’t know much about the contest for control of the House.

All 435 House seats are up.

We don’t know how …