Economic and Political Insights

Economic and Political Insights

Markets & Case Studies

Tricolor’s Fall and the Subprime Fault Line

Tricolor’s Fall and the Subprime Fault Line

David Bernstein's avatar
David Bernstein
Oct 10, 2025
∙ Paid


Tricolor Auto’s collapse rattled a narrow corner of the subprime auto world.
A month later, only a few stocks — CarMax and Car-Mart — show lasting damage, while banks barely moved. Markets seem to be testing the edges of credit stress, not yet a full alarm.


Share

Abstract: The September bankruptcy of Tricolor Auto Group, a private subprime auto lender, offered a rare real-time test of investor sentiment toward riskier consumer credit. This note examines how equity markets — from used-car retailers to banks with auto portfolios — responded in the weeks that followed the bankruptcy.


Annual membership for paid subscriber 50 percent off $30.

https://bernsteinbook1958.substack.com/4d9daaf9I.

Introduction

The September 2025 bankruptcy of Tricolor Auto Group, a private subprime auto lender, offered a natural experiment for public-market investors.

User's avatar

Continue reading this post for free, courtesy of David Bernstein.

Or purchase a paid subscription.
© 2026 David Bernstein · Privacy ∙ Terms ∙ Collection notice
Start your SubstackGet the app
Substack is the home for great culture